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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.This round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict has killed 44,758 people in the Gaza. According to a statement issued by the health department in Gaza on December 10th, local time, since the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out on October 7th last year, Israeli military operations in Gaza have killed 44,758 Palestinians and injured 106,134 others.LI: In the 49th week of 2024 (12.2-12.8), the weekly sales volume of LI reached 12,600 vehicles, ranking first in the sales volume of new power brands in China market for 33 consecutive weeks.

The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the third consecutive trading day.Saudi Arabia claims that Israel's actions in Syria have destroyed the opportunity to restore security.Violation of equity incentive plan? Tesla was fined 70,000 yuan. Recently, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. was fined 70,000 yuan by the Beijing Branch of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange for violating foreign exchange registration regulations. The types of illegal acts involve Articles 2 and 8 of the Notice of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Relevant Issues Concerning Domestic Individuals Participating in Foreign Exchange Management of Equity Incentive Plans of Overseas Listed Companies. According to the above law, the equity incentive plan of Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. may be illegal. (21 Finance)

Australia's policy interest rate is 4.35%, expected to be 4.35%, and the previous value is 4.35%.Malaysia exported 1.49 million tons of palm oil in November, down 15%.Goldman Sachs: It is expected that the output of OPEC+will still depend on the data, and it is assumed that the output of OPEC+will increase for four consecutive months from next July under the strong demand in summer. It is estimated that India's oil demand will increase by 300,000 barrels per day next year, accounting for nearly 30% of the global oil demand growth.